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Med udgangspunkt i Baltikum, hvordan kan sikkerhedsdilemma-teori forklare den øgede konflikt mellem Rusland og Vesten, og hvordan påvirkes sikkerhedsdilemmaet af Rusland som opstigende magt og ambition om ændring af polariseringen?

Studenteropgave: Master speciale

  • Johnny Juhl
Afgangsprojekt, Master i Militære Studier (Masteruddannelse)
The dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991 changed the former bipolar world order between the United States and Russia. The West's subsequent enlargements to the East challenge Russia's security and opportunities to support its regional interests. The situation has triggered a conflict between the West and Russia, which has emerged in Russia's annexation of the Crimean and Western counterparts in the form of NATO force-building in the Baltic countries.
The purpose of this project is to analyse how the Security Dilemma theory can explain the conflict between Russia and the West, and how the security dilemma is influenced by Russia as a rising power and its ambition to change the world order.
The first two sections analyse how geography and technology can explain the ongoing conflict between Russia and the West. The third section analyses Russia as a rising power and its influence on the security dilemma. Common to the three analysis sections is the perception of the actors, the distrust and the fear of the counterpart's current and future intentions.
The conclusion shows that the Safety Dilemma Theory presents relevant variables in the past, to assess the causes of the conflict, and to some extent also how dangerous the situation is. In addition, Russia's positioning is an important factor in maintaining the security dilemma. How dangerous the situation is, however, is difficult to give a clear answer, as much of the security dilemma is about perception and mistrust.
SprogDansk
Udgivelsesdato25 jan. 2019
Antal sider46
Udgivende institutionForsvarsakademiet

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