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Risikoanalyse af Sejladsplanlægning

Studenteropgave: Diplomprojekt

  • Michael Bach
Afgangsprojekt, Den militære diplomuddannelse (Diplomuddannelse)
The maritime world is a place of danger. Sailors have through the ages developed procedures to mitigate these dangers, and have transmitted those to the next generation who continued the job. These differ from organization to organization and from country to country, and constitute their best practice in the area. Meanwhile in risk management, a big leap in risk understanding has been made in the last 20 years. The perspective have changed since the introduction and study of Black Swan events and concepts like Robustness and Resilience have been developed to analyze these. This study is a qualitative examination of the Danish Navy procedure on voyage planning, from the perspective of modern risk management. Modern risk management is understood as the risk framework presented by Terje Aven and is applied to the procedures described in the textbook used in the Danish Naval Academy, “Sejladsplanlægning”. It is further expanded on by interviewing the second squadron’s staff navigation officer. This analysis shows that voyage planning in the Danish navy can be seen as a rigorous examination of the possible routes from A to B, in order to build a proper risk description and a well designed set of warning and danger signals. The study further examines the special complex dynamics that exists between the chief of the ship and the officers of the watch, and explains how the chief of the ship should be aware of this in order to avoid miscommunication. The study also shows the complex interpretation process from real dangers to the officers of the watch risk description, and how failure may occur in this interpretation. Finally, a comparison between the recent collisions with USS Fitzgerald, USS John McCain and HNoMS Helge Ingstad and the practice in the Danish Navy is made. The result is that we are currently making some of the same mistakes that contributed to these accidents. Possible solutions are explored, such as a dedicated officer of the watch training carrier path and training teams from other ships.
Udgivelsesdato18 feb. 2020
Antal sider31
Udgivende institutionInstitut for Militærhistorie, Kulturforståelse og Krigsteori
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