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To minutter i midnat? Atomkrig og den amerikanske strategiforståelse.

Studenteropgave: Master speciale

  • Ronni Widell
Afgangsprojekt, Master i Militære Studier (Masteruddannelse)
The United States have through recent actions brought the matter of Nuclear Weapons to the attention of the media and the Public at large. Whether it be the heated rhetoric between the U.S. and North Korea in 2017, or the decision to leave the Iran nuclear deal in 2018, these matters have raised concern that the probability of nuclear war may be on the rise. This master thesis examines the Trump administration Nuclear Posture Review in order to determine if the latest U.S. nuclear strategy attributes to a rising probability of nuclear war. The thesis also examines whether the latest Nuclear Posture Review is influenced by classical theories of limited nuclear war. To evaluate the Nuclear Policy Reviews effect on the probability of nuclear war, an analysis is conducted using Booth & Wheelers interpretation of the security dilemma theory. The influence of theories of limited nuclear war is conducted by drawing upon the classical works of the nuclear theorists of the 1950’s and 1960’s. Based on the analysis it is concluded, that the U.S. Nuclear Posture Review 2018, with respects to the security dilemma, does indeed increase the probability of nuclear war. It is also concluded that the current U.S. Nuclear strategy is not particularly influenced by classical theories of limited nuclear war. Overall a concern is raised, whether the U.S. is able to keep a nuclear war limited or not.
Udgivelsesdato25 jan. 2019
Antal sider68
Udgivende institutionForsvarsakademiet
Log ind i Pure