Danish Defence Research Database


Sanktionerne mod Iran: Årsag til forandring?

Student thesis: Master programme thesis

  • Brian Jensen
Stabskursus, Joint Senior Staff Course
The signing of the interim agreement in Geneva in November 2013 marked a change in the
relations between Iran and the West. Since the signing of the agreement, Iran has acted in
compliance with the accord, and some of the imposed sanctions have been lifted.
This thesis sets out to investigate if Iran’s change of behaviour can be explained by Bruce W.
Jentleson and Christopher A. Whytock’s Comprehensive Framework. In order to
operationalize the theory, the framework is applied on Iran’s domestic politics over two recent
periods, in sum ranging from 2006 until today. The analysis is conducted with regards to the
will of the population, Iranian domestic economy and the Iranian Elite’s tendency to support
compliance or non-compliance with Western demands. Changes in the three elements from
period one to period two will be used as an indicator to the efficiency of the sanctions
imposed on Iran.
In light of Hassan Rouhani’s succession of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as president of Iran in
2013 and a demand by the Iranian people for improved economic conditions, the thesis
concludes an increasing tendency towards compliance with sanctions and explains why Iran
might be prepared to refresh its troubled relations with the West.
Publication date2 May 2014
Publishing institutionForsvarsakademiet


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